In finance the difference between a healthy position on scenario analysis and stress testing and a dangerous one is often a single assumption. Regulators no longer accept intent as evidence of control over stress testing. They acquire practical criteria for judging when the wider financial and banking practice agenda is working and when it is only appearing to. Mature organisations treat scenario analysis and stress testing as a standing capability rather than a project that finishes. Participants come from operational and oversight roles, and both perspectives on this area of financial and banking practice are used deliberately. Content is organised around the decisions practitioners actually face in stress testing, not around theory headings. The method assumes participants will be challenged on their handling of scenario analysis and stress testing and prepares them for it. Ambition around stress testing outruns capacity unless the sequencing is deliberate. Participants finish with a short, specific brief on the practice within financial and banking practice ready to put in front of a decision maker.
Expected Learning Outcomes
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Set the minimum documentation for scenario analysis and stress testing that is genuinely necessary, and stop there.
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Design the reporting on stress testing that reaches decision makers in time to act.
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Stress test scenario analysis and stress testing against scenarios that are plausible rather than comfortable.
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Define the scope and boundaries of stress testing so that responsibility for it is unambiguous.
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Review the contractual and legal exposure created by scenario analysis and stress testing.
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Diagnose whether a problem in stress testing is one of design, resourcing or discipline.
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Assess the capital and liquidity implications of scenario analysis and stress testing.
Who Should Attend
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Members of committees that take decisions affecting scenario analysis and stress testing.
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Risk managers responsible for stress testing.
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Operations staff who encounter the consequences of scenario analysis and stress testing directly.
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Internal auditors reviewing the controls around stress testing.
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Finance managers reporting on scenario analysis and stress testing.